WASHINGTON (By Jonathan Weisman, Washington Post) June 4, 2007 —
After a week at home with their constituents,
the Senate architects of a delicate immigration compromise are increasingly
convinced that they will hold together this week to pass an overhaul of the
nation's immigration laws, with momentum building behind one unifying theme:
Today's immigration system is too broken to go unaddressed.
Congress's week-long Memorial Day recess
was expected to leave the bill in tatters. But with a week of action set to
begin today, the legislation's champions say they believe that the voices of
opposition, especially from conservatives, represent a small segment of
public opinion. Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.), who led negotiations on the bill for
his party, said the flood of angry calls and protests that greeted the deal
two weeks ago has since receded every day.
"You just have to recognize you will get
300 calls, you'll get conflicts at town hall meetings -- all of them
negative," said Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), who consulted with Kyl and hopes
to carry a similar deal through the House in July. "The last few days have
really turned things around."
Public opinion polls seem to support Kyl's
contention that Americans are far more open to the deal than the voices of
opposition would indicate. In a Washington Post-ABC News poll released
today, 52 percent of Americans said they would support a program giving
illegal immigrants the right to stay and work in the United States if they
pay a fine and meet other requirements. Opposition to that proposal was 44
percent.
So far, the dozen senators who cut the deal
have been able to hold their compromise together. They have beaten back
amendments that the group deemed to be coalition-killers, such as one to
strike the bill's temporary-worker program and another to remove its
provisions to legalize the nation's estimated 12 million illegal immigrants.
This week's amendments are more subtle, and
therefore, more threatening to the coalition.
Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) will push to
make the Department of Homeland Security consider more of the family-based
immigration applications that have already been filed, adding 833,000
immigrants. Kyl said he will withdraw his support for the bill if the
amendment passes.
He also said he will walk away if Menendez
and Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.) win passage of an amendment that
would more than double the number of green cards available under the bill
for the parents of U.S. citizens. Kyl said conservatives believe today's
family unification system is being misused by illegal immigrants, whose
U.S.-born children are citizens.
Such amendments will be difficult to resist
for the compromise's chief Democratic architect, Sen. Edward M. Kennedy
(Mass.), who helped create the family unification system in 1965 and whom
conservatives are now counting on to help dismantle it.
Republicans in the coalition will be
expected to oppose amendments that put them in equally difficult positions.
One, sponsored by Sen. John Cornyn (R-Tex.), would expand the list of crimes
making illegal immigrants ineligible for legalization. Cornyn has emphasized
infractions such as gang activity and "aggravated felonies."
Democrats say the list would virtually wipe
out the legalization program by barring undocumented workers who ignored
deportation orders, overstayed their visas or otherwise evaded immigration
authorities.
In addition, Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.)
would like to prohibit illegal immigrants who are legalized under the law
from obtaining the earned-income tax credit to bolster low-income work.
For Republicans in the coalition, opposing
such amendments will only increase the pressure they are facing at home.
Over the break, Sens. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) and Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.)
were booed at their state party conventions. And President Bush's attempt to
give Republicans political cover by praising the deal may have backfired.
Republican opponents in the House now call the proposal the "Kennedy-Bush
Amnesty" bill.
"I just know that we've got a tough week
ahead of us," Kyl said.
But Kyl and several immigration lobbyists
also point to a different dynamic. The bill's authors, as well as advocates
of comprehensive immigration legislation, have been arguing that flawed as
it is, the measure must go forward legislatively and eventually it will be
fixed.
That dynamic is driven by certain
realities: a two-year backlog of legal immigration applications, a workforce
in the United States that is as much as 5 percent illegal, and a growing
patchwork of conflicting state and local immigration ordinances that
threaten to paralyze business.
"The glue that is keeping this process
going is the absolute agreement by all the disparate groups that the current
system is absolutely dysfunctional," said Bruce Josten, chief lobbyist for
the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
But as it moves forward, the deal has taken
on a life of its own. Senators from both parties have already taken
political hits over their stands on the bill and on amendments to it. Even
if advocacy groups withdraw their support, politicians will be loath to come
out of the fight empty-handed.
If he pulls his support for the bill over a
"killer" amendment, Kyl said, he will be accused of succumbing to right-wing
threats, and he is not sure he can persuade enough colleagues to bolt with
him. Brent Wilkes, national executive director of the League of United Latin
American Citizens, said his group is in the same position, saying it would
bring the bill down if the Senate does not restore the family reunification
system and give temporary workers a chance to appeal for citizenship. But
such threats may carry no weight.
"We've been saying, 'Go forward, go
forward, keep the process running' for so long, it's not realistic to think
we can stop this after we've already made people take such difficult votes,"
Wilkes said. "I don't know how we got into the box that we've gotten into,
but I don't see how we can find a winning hand."