— Harry and Louise have had a
change of heart.
Thirteen years after television ads from the insurance
industry featuring the fictional middle-class couple helped kill
the Clinton health-care plan and make universal coverage
politically radioactive, comprehensive proposals for expanding
coverage to millions of uninsured Americans are flowering again
inside the Beltway and around the country.
And this time, advocates hope, the political climate is right
for the best ideas to grow, in large part because many business
groups that opposed earlier efforts now agree that rising
health-care costs and increasingly tougher access to insurance
are unsustainable trends.
Whether Washington will do more than talk about the problem,
however, remains to be seen. Money is tight, and some experts
say major shifts in federal policy are unlikely until after the
2008 presidential election, in which health care is expected to
be a major focus.
Many are not willing to wait. Karen Ignagni, president of
America's Health Insurance Plans -- the same industry
association that once funded the "Harry and Louise" ads -- was
among representatives of 16 business, medical and consumer
groups that last week called for Congress to spend $45 billion
over five years to extend health coverage to most of the
nation's uninsured children. After that, the groups said,
lawmakers should direct billions more toward covering uninsured
adults, mostly through a mixture of tax breaks and expanded
federal programs.
"On this issue, the polls show that Democrats, Republicans
and independents want progress," Ignagni said. "The most
expensive course is to do nothing."
John J. Castellani, president of the Business Roundtable, an
association of chief executives of 160 U.S. companies, issued a
similar call at a separate news conference last week with
leaders of AARP, the politically powerful seniors organization,
and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU). "Our
soaring health-care costs put American goods and services at a
significant competitive disadvantage, and they slow economic
growth," Castellani said. "Policymakers must act."
In recent weeks, proposals for dramatically expanding
coverage have been floated by Ignagni's industry group, the
Children's Defense Fund and Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.). Sen. Edward
M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) and Rep. John D. Dingell (D-Mich.), who
lead important congressional committees, plan to pursue
legislation to allow Americans under 65 to enroll in Medicare or
in the health coverage enjoyed by Congress. And a bipartisan
group of two senators and three House members introduced
legislation last week to help states fund innovative ways to
cover more people.
"Health care has been poked and prodded for years," said
Wyden, who wants to replace employer coverage with a centrally
financed system of private insurance for all Americans. "I
believe it is time for diagnosis and treatment."
Much of the activity in Washington is being spurred by a wave
of experiments at the state level, particularly Massachusetts's
decision last year to require all residents to obtain health
insurance, through state-subsidized policies if necessary. This
month, California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) proposed a
similar plan for all 36 million Californians, funding its $12
billion cost partly through fees on employers, hospitals and
doctors.
In Pennsylvania, Gov. Edward G. Rendell (D) last week
proposed creating a program of state-subsidized private
insurance to help many of the 767,000 uninsured people in his
state. The plan would impose taxes on tobacco and on businesses
that do not offer coverage, and it would phase in a requirement
that people earning more than 300 percent of the poverty level
(about $60,000 for a family of four) obtain insurance.
"It is no longer a question of whether we can afford to act,"
Rendell said, noting that treating Pennsylvania's uninsured
costs $1.4 billion annually. "The cost of inaction is far
greater in terms of individual health consequences and from the
increasing burden on taxpayers."
Vermont enacted legislation last year that seeks to expand
coverage so that at least 96 percent of residents will have
insurance by 2010. Illinois began a major expansion of coverage
for children in 2005. That same year, Maine began implementing a
plan whose goal is to cover all of the state's 130,000 uninsured
residents by 2009.
Other states considering expanding coverage include
Connecticut, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Missouri, New
Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina and Wisconsin,
according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.
All the state activity is adding pressure on politicians in
Washington to act on a problem that grows worse year by year.
Recent census figures show that a record 46.6 million Americans,
including 8.3 million children, had no health insurance in 2005,
up from 39.7 million in 1994. Employer coverage is more
expensive and less available.
"As usual, Washington is behind the rest of the country,"
said Andy Stern, president of the SEIU. "We're ready to have a
very bipartisan solution. What you are seeing now that you
didn't see in 1994 is that everyone is on the same side saying,
'We want universal coverage.' The only question is, 'How?' "
Ah, yes, "how" -- and how to pay for it.
Expanding coverage is a costly proposition, and Democrats, in
control of Congress for the first time since 1994, have pledged
not to pass major new spending proposals unless other programs
are cut to avoid increasing the federal deficit.
While there is bipartisan support for reauthorizing the
decade-old state-federal Children's Health Insurance Program,
which covers more than 4 million children at a cost of $5
billion a year, experts say at least $12.7 billion more is
needed over the next five years just to keep covering the same
number of kids.
Moreover, President Bush has given no sign of departing from
his advocacy of special tax-favored savings accounts and changes
in the tax code as the best ways to make health insurance more
affordable. In his State of the Union speech this week, Bush
plans to propose more such changes and to announce a new
initiative to help states get more residents into private
insurance.
"We must address these rising costs so that more Americans
can afford basic health insurance," the president said Saturday
in his weekly radio address. "And we need to do it without
creating a new federal entitlement program or raising taxes."
Despite the new enthusiasm, in the short run, most attempts
to expand coverage will probably continue to happen at the state
level, some lawmakers said. Federal efforts will be largely
incremental and devoted to helping the states find their way.
"The states become laboratories," said Rep. Frank Pallone Jr.
(D-N.J.), chairman of the House Energy and Commerce subcommittee
on health. "Politically that's necessary. If we tried to adopt a
universal health-care plan on the federal level, we probably
wouldn't have the votes."
Sen. George V. Voinovich (R-Ohio), a member of a bipartisan
group that wants to steer new grants to states, called health
care "the greatest domestic problem" but also said that "the
truth of the matter is that dealing with this problem between
now and the election is not realistic."
"Congress is not going to act in a major way to deal with
this access problem in the next couple of years," said Sen. Jeff
Bingaman (D-N.M.), another member. "That's the unfortunate
reality that we're facing. And so we're saying most of the
effort that is possible is at the state level and at the local
level. And we want to encourage it and we want to provide
assistance."
But ultimately, Washington will have to do more, said Charles
N. Kahn III, president of the Federation of American Hospitals.
"At the end of the day, I think the federal government and
the federal taxpayers have a responsibility," said Kahn, whose
organization was among those calling for $45 billion to cover
children. "Clearly, there are states that are looking into this.
They can come up with some resources. But we feel that in order
to get the ball rolling from where we are now, this is the role
that the federal government needs to play."